Sixty sessions with the levels that have held, and the heaviest option strikes on the same price scale — the weekly expiry, Tue 22 Sep, 4 days to go.
Levels
- R223,805on the weekly chart too
- R123,606on the weekly chart too
- S123,116the low of the last ten sessions — still forming
R is resistance above the close, S is support below it, nearest first. Chosen by how often price has turned there and whether the weekly and monthly charts agree.
The day and the week
Fell early, then recovered — 0.22% lower over the 5 sessions.
Where the option writers sit
- Heaviest calls
- 24,000
- Heaviest puts
- 23,300
- Most option value expires at
- 23,350
- PCR (puts against calls)
- 1.15
The strikes with the most open contracts on each side, and the strike where the most option value would expire worthless.
- R1, R2 — resistance above the close, nearest first
- S1, S2 — support below the close, nearest first
- the nearest level of the last weekly swing
- a level price has broken through
- strikes with calls written
- strikes with puts written
Fell early, then recovered — 0.22% lower over the 5 sessions. All five sessions were falling.
The last session: 103 points from low to high; closed in the middle of its day.
22,183 on 2 Apr to 24,774 on 7 Aug, up 11.7% — and before it, 26,373 on 9 Jan to 22,183 on 2 Apr, down 15.9%.
These are the levels of the two swings named above. R1 is the first one above today's close, S1 the first below. "Reached" means price has already traded through it.
- Closed straight through within ten sessions: 124 of 173 first touches.
- Fell a full day's range back from one: 90 of the same 173.
- Often on the very same touch — which is why a level can look like it held and price still ends up past it.
- Lines at ordinary fractions of the same swings — 0.30, 0.45, 0.55, 0.70, 0.85 — behaved the same.
- Price went through 70% of those, against 72% of the Fibonacci ones.
- It is the swing that matters, not the ratio.
- After a close pushed half a day's range past the middle of the swing:
- Reached the next level down within ten sessions: 26 of 33.
- Within twenty sessions: 29 of 33.
- A count of what has happened before, not a promise about this week.
Where NIFTY stands — day, week and month
the timeframes are not reading the same way.
Day
fallinglower highs and lower lows
- Where in the swing
- the last swing was up; a pullback is in progress
- Momentum
- strongly falling
- Range
- about as wide as usual
- Compression
- the compression rule reads: a move up out of the range
over the next five sessions, the typical move has been about 1.0× a normal day's range; one in ten went beyond 2.7×
Week
risinghigher highs and higher lows
- Where in the swing
- the last swing was up; a pullback is in progress
- Momentum
- mixed
- Range
- about as wide as usual
- Compression
- the compression rule reads: a move up out of the range
over the next few weeks, the typical move has been about 1.0× a normal week's range; one in ten went beyond 2.4×
Month
sidewaysinside a range, neither side taken
- Where in the swing
- the last swing was down; a bounce is in progress
- Momentum
- mixed
- Range
- a wider stretch than usual
- Compression
- the compression rule reads: a move down out of the range
over the next few months, the typical move has been about 0.9× a normal month's range; one in ten went beyond 2.1×
NIFTY · daily
Dashed grey: reference levels. Dotted violet: the heaviest option strikes. Dotted amber: extension and retracement levels. The shaded band is the recent range; triangles mark recorded breaks and confirmed formations.
Support and resistance
Above
Below
What levels like these have done
| Level | Times touched before | Price came to it | Turned a day’s range back | Closed through | Past cases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above the close, also on a longer timeframe | 1 | 77 in 100 | 65 in 100 | 80 in 100 | 3,832 |
| above the close | 1 | 74 in 100 | 64 in 100 | 82 in 100 | 3,265 |
| above the close, also on a longer timeframe | 2 | 89 in 100 | 62 in 100 | 84 in 100 | 1,723 |
| above the close | 2 | 95 in 100 | 62 in 100 | 91 in 100 | 529 |
| above the close, also on a longer timeframe | 3+ | 91 in 100 | 56 in 100 | 84 in 100 | 1,735 |
| above the close | 3+ | 97 in 100 | 58 in 100 | 89 in 100 | 489 |
| below the close, also on a longer timeframe | 1 | 64 in 100 | 75 in 100 | 75 in 100 | 4,404 |
| below the close | 1 | 63 in 100 | 75 in 100 | 78 in 100 | 4,383 |
| below the close, also on a longer timeframe | 2 | 83 in 100 | 68 in 100 | 79 in 100 | 1,898 |
| below the close | 2 | 79 in 100 | 69 in 100 | 76 in 100 | 609 |
| below the close, also on a longer timeframe | 3+ | 85 in 100 | 72 in 100 | 73 in 100 | 1,876 |
| below the close | 3+ | 89 in 100 | 72 in 100 | 79 in 100 | 579 |
The last two columns are counted over the touches that were REACHED, and they overlap: on one touch price can turn a day’s range back and still close beyond it inside the window. Both are shown because printing one of them would be choosing the answer. On a level like the ones in this table, price came to it 89 times in 100, over 1,723 past cases; of those it turned a day's range back 62 times in 100 and closed through 84 times in 100.
How far it has actually travelled
| Over | 50 sessions in 100 stayed inside | 75 sessions in 100 stayed inside | 90 sessions in 100 stayed inside |
|---|---|---|---|
| the next session | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| the next 5 sessions | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
| the next 21 sessions | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
How far the index has actually travelled, counted over every past session. Read a row as: over that many sessions, this many in a hundred stayed inside that much either way. 75 sessions in 100 have stayed inside 2.5% either way over the next 5 sessions.
M and W formations, and their necklines
| Shape | Confirmed | Neckline | Height | Measured move | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | 2026-08-31 | 23,606 | 5.2× | 22,682 | still open |
| M | 2026-08-31 | 23,606 | 4.3× | 22,845 | still open |
| W | 2026-07-29 | 24,367 | 2.4× | 24,929 | did not reach |
| W | 2026-07-29 | 24,531 | 3.2× | 25,277 | did not reach |
| M | 2026-07-22 | 23,805 | 2.9× | 23,080 | did not reach |
| W | 2026-07-13 | 24,531 | 2.8× | 25,277 | did not reach |
| M | 2026-07-10 | 23,070 | 5.9× | 21,658 | still open |
| W | 2026-06-29 | 24,482 | 2.5× | 25,167 | still open |
| M | 2026-06-23 | 23,070 | 3.7× | 22,051 | still open |
| M | 2026-06-23 | 23,070 | 4.6× | 21,806 | still open |
Breakouts and breakdowns
| When | Way | Level | Close | How far it went | Still beyond |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | down through | 24,026 | 23,914 | 3.3× | yes |
| 2026-07-31 | up through | 24,367 | 24,384 | 1.9× | yes |
| 2026-07-24 | down through | 23,805 | 23,767 | 0.0× | no |
| 2026-07-03 | up through | 24,189 | 24,271 | 1.4× | yes |
| 2026-06-18 | up through | 24,090 | 24,168 | 0.6× | no |
| 2026-06-08 | down through | 23,263 | 23,123 | 0.6× | no |
| 2026-05-12 | down through | 23,797 | 23,380 | 1.5× | yes |
| 2026-04-08 | up through | 23,465 | 23,997 | 1.9× | yes |
| 2026-03-30 | down through | 22,471 | 22,331 | 0.6× | no |
| 2026-02-27 | down through | 25,373 | 25,179 | 5.8× | yes |
| 2026-02-13 | down through | 25,492 | 25,471 | 0.4× | no |
| 2026-02-03 | up through | 25,458 | 25,728 | 1.5× | yes |
| 2026-02-01 | down through | 24,920 | 24,825 | 0.8× | no |
| 2026-01-08 | down through | 25,878 | 25,877 | 2.3× | yes |
| 2026-01-02 | up through | 26,236 | 26,329 | 0.8× | no |
| 2025-12-22 | up through | 26,058 | 26,172 | 0.9× | no |
| 2025-12-09 | down through | 25,891 | 25,840 | 1.0× | yes |
| 2025-11-20 | up through | 26,098 | 26,192 | 1.1× | yes |
| 2025-11-04 | down through | 25,718 | 25,598 | 2.0× | no |
| 2025-10-16 | up through | 25,449 | 25,585 | 3.4× | yes |